Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.006386 0.007118 0.007915 0.008850 0.009919 0.011107 0.012532
2025-06-08 0.005040 0.005996 0.007122 0.008554 0.010343 0.012522 0.015405
2025-06-15 0.004406 0.005472 0.006794 0.008573 0.010935 0.014007 0.018375
2025-06-22 0.004072 0.005239 0.006750 0.008882 0.011865 0.015972 0.022202
2025-06-29 0.003645 0.004822 0.006398 0.008706 0.012076 0.016941 0.024728
2025-07-06 0.003298 0.004467 0.006080 0.008521 0.012222 0.017794 0.027163
2025-07-13 0.003060 0.004237 0.005906 0.008511 0.012605 0.019024 0.030348
2025-07-20 0.002919 0.004129 0.005891 0.008727 0.013345 0.020888 0.034864
2025-07-27 0.002722 0.003920 0.005703 0.008648 0.013593 0.021961 0.038149
2025-08-03 0.002566 0.003759 0.005572 0.008643 0.013951 0.023252 0.042032
2025-08-10 0.002406 0.003578 0.005394 0.008538 0.014121 0.024217 0.045428
2025-08-17 0.002301 0.003475 0.005330 0.008615 0.014614 0.025830 0.050410
2025-08-24 0.002167 0.003321 0.005179 0.008545 0.014863 0.027070 0.054983
2025-08-31 0.002003 0.003109 0.004918 0.008259 0.014680 0.027451 0.057771
2025-09-07 0.001909 0.003005 0.004831 0.008277 0.015082 0.029073 0.063773
2025-09-14 0.001869 0.002989 0.004892 0.008574 0.016068 0.032075 0.073844
2025-09-21 0.001759 0.002845 0.004718 0.008405 0.016079 0.032935 0.078616
2025-09-28 0.001658 0.002709 0.004548 0.008227 0.016049 0.033696 0.083301
2025-10-05 0.001589 0.002626 0.004467 0.008218 0.016381 0.035353 0.090923
2025-10-12 0.001554 0.002601 0.004492 0.008425 0.017215 0.038360 0.103356
2025-10-19 0.001484 0.002510 0.004385 0.008350 0.017397 0.039758 0.111204
2025-10-26 0.001429 0.002441 0.004315 0.008344 0.017740 0.041630 0.121147
2025-11-02 0.001366 0.002354 0.004205 0.008243 0.017843 0.042876 0.129325